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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Beaten up' UK homebuilders could get the biggest boost from interest rate cuts, strategist saysMichael Field, European equity market strategist at Morningstar, discusses the outlook for European sectors and says homebuilders, particularly in the U.K., could see the biggest boost should the Bank of England start cutting interest rates.
Persons: Michael Field Organizations: Morningstar, Bank of England
A key policy designed to create affordable housing for low-income people has long been scrutinized for being generally ineffective. So a policy designed to create more affordable housing can actually result in fewer homes and higher housing costs. Related storiesPhillips wanted to determine whether there's an optimal inclusionary zoning policy and if not, what the policy's tradeoffs look like. This involves finding a balance between creating more deed-restricted affordable housing and boosting the overall supply of housing. He concluded that the value of the government subsidy for building affordable housing needs to outweigh its costs.
Persons: Shane Phillips, Phillips Organizations: Service, Business, UCLA, UC Berkeley's Terner, Housing Innovation Locations: American, Los Angeles
All that has caused the spring homebuying season to take a timeout — and could spell trouble for the remainder of the year. Since 1999, more than a third of home sales for the entire year occur between March and June on average, according to Freddie Mac data. Given the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates, Khater expects mortgage rates to remain elevated for longer. Taken together, all these factors will likely put upward pressure on home prices, Khater and his team said in the report. “Our outlook does depend on mortgage rates, which are creating their own seasonality,” she added.
Persons: That’s, ” Zillow, Nicole Bachaud, “ Buyers, Bachaud, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac, Khater, Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CNN, , Fed Locations: New York, Texas, Florida
Washington CNN —US home-price growth accelerated in February at the fastest annual pace since November 2022, a sign that America’s housing market remains tough amid elevated mortgage rates. Of the 20 cities, San Diego saw the biggest increase in home prices in February, a steep 11.4% rise, followed by Chicago and Detroit. America’s housing market began to recover in the beginning the year as home sales surged from decades-lows in the fall and homebuilders began to feel to more upbeat about the economy. Mortgage rates have followed suit, since they track the 10-year yield. Economists don’t expect mortgage rates to drop meaningfully this year, and they could continue to climb if inflation remains stuck.
Persons: homebuilders, Freddie Mac Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Treasury Locations: San Diego, Chicago, Detroit, Portland , Oregon
Home affordability has also been crippled by a combination of limited home supply and resilient demand due to solid wage growth, Zelman noted. Rent growth fell again on a year-over-year basis in April, according to a new report from real-estate site Zumper. And Zelman found that wage growth will outpace that of rent this year. AdvertisementOwning a home costs an average of 9% more on a square-foot basis than renting, according to Zelman & Associates. Along with each is the per-square-foot cost premium of owning compared to renting, according to Zelman & Associates.
Persons: , Ivy Zelman, I've, Zelman, Zelman isn't Organizations: Service, Zelman, Associates, Business, Wall, Toll Locations: Houston, Tampa
Washington CNN —Sales of newly built single-family homes in the United States soared in March despite mortgage rates remaining elevated that month. Housing market poised to remain difficultThe broader US housing market is expected to remain tough for Americans, with mortgage rates poised to stay well above 6% this year, economists say. The Federal Reserve doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, but its actions do influence them, and the central bank isn’t expected to cut interest rates anytime soon. “Despite high prices and mortgage rates, homebuyers have limited options on the resale market, although resale inventories have improved some over the course of this year,” Gregg Logan, managing director at RCLCO Real Estate Consulting, said in a note Tuesday. “The willingness of the major homebuilders to utilize incentives such as price reductions, mortgage rate buy-downs and paying buyers closings costs continue to support a healthy pace of new home sales,” he added.
Persons: ” Gregg Logan, Organizations: Washington CNN —, National Association of Realtors, Housing, Federal Reserve, Fed, Real Estate Consulting Locations: United States, Northeast
The outlook for homebuilders
  + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe outlook for homebuildersJohn Lovallo, analyst at UBS, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss D.R. Horton as the home builder exceeded expectations in its fiscal second quarter, how higher rates are impacting home sales, and more.
Persons: John Lovallo, Horton Organizations: UBS
Using Bespoke Investment Group data, CNBC Pro screened for stocks set to release their quarterly results that meet the following criteria: Reporting earnings next week Average earnings per share beat rate of 70% or higher Shares typically gain an average of 1% or more after reporting earnings The screen turned up medical device company Intuitive Surgical as showing the highest average one-day move after reporting earnings, at 2.43%, and an average EPS beat rate of 87%. "We anticipate Da Vinci Xi demand will hold strong in the interim as customers await the commercial launch of da Vinci 5, benefiting from improving utilization and procedure volume trends in the near-term." Horton , which also reports on Thursday, has a 76% earnings beat rate and the stock typically gains roughly 1.5% after results. Toolmaker Snap-on had the highest earnings beat rate on the screen, at 90%. Other companies that could see a bump after earnings next week include Blackstone , Citizens Financial and workforce solutions company ManpowerGroup .
Persons: Da, Joanne Wuensch, Wedbush, Horton, homebuilders Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Citigroup, Citi, FactSet, Blackstone, Citizens Financial Locations: Vinci, Horton, D.R, underperform
Homebuilders fall following hot inflation numbers
  + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Diana Olick | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHomebuilders fall following hot inflation numbersCNBC's Diana Olick reports on how Wednesday's CPI data will impact the real estate sector.
Persons: Diana Olick
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. "Always looking to buy something on a down day," adds Jim Cramer. " As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Abbott, Stanley Black, Decker, Cramer, Johnson, Carolyn Boroden, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, Federal, Apple, Palo Alto Networks, Constellation Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: homebuilders, Boroden, Palo, New York City
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Oppenheimer reiterates Nvidia as outperform Oppenheimer said it's sticking with its outperform rating on shares of Nvidia. Citi reiterates Eli Lilly as buy Citi said the biopharma company is "riding the GLP-1 rocket." Citi downgrades Clorox to neutral from buy Citi said that the bullish thesis for the stock has largely played out for now. Citi upgrades Estee Lauder to buy from neutral Citi said it sees a "topline inflection point" for the stock. Barclays upgrades Array Technologies to overweight from equal weight Barclays said it sees share gains for the solar company.
Persons: Oppenheimer, McCormick, Argus, Needham, it's, Nelson Peltz, Melius, Horton, Citi, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, ARRY, JMP, Piper Sandler, Piper, Nio, CFRA, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Blackstone, Petco Organizations: Nvidia, JPMorgan, Disney, Boeing, Citi, Coca, MTH, RBC, GE Vernova, General Electric, Bank of America, Meta, Travel, Barclays, Eaton, MI, Olema Pharmaceuticals, UBS, Bank of, of America Locations: underperform, LEN, DHI, Asia, Eaton, 4Q23
Tesla — Tesla shares sank more than 6% after the electric vehicle maker reported an 8.5% year-over-year decline in deliveries in the first quarter. GE Vernova — Shares jumped more than 3% after GE Vernova started trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Tuesday under the ticker "GEV," following its spinoff from General Electric. Shares of GE Aerospace , which was formerly General Electric and is keeping the "GE" ticker symbol, gained roughly 1%. Figs — Shares of the health-care apparel maker slipped 6.2% following a Bank of America downgrade to underperform from neutral. Horton — The homebuilder's shares slipped 3.7%.
Persons: PVH, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Blackstone, Nextracker, Horton —, Wedbush, Horton, Brent Bowman, Tim Cabral, , Sarah Min, Alex Harring, Samantha Subin Organizations: GE, , GE Vernova, New York Stock Exchange, General Electric, GE Aerospace, SLB, CVS, Health, Medicare, Medicaid Services, CVS Health, UnitedHealth, Endeavor, Silver, Blackstone —, UBS, Barclays, Bank of America, Veeva Locations: Europe, D.R
You should be a buyer of the homebuilders now, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer takes a closer look at the homebuilder space.
Persons: Jim Cramer
But what if I told you this group shrunk its share count dramatically since 2019? The numbers tell the story: Lennar now has 276 million shares outstanding, down from 318 million five years ago. Other than Toll, most of the homebuilder management teams do not emphasize this fundamental change in share count. Management has been buying hand over fist since 2019, shrinking the share count to 215 million from 264 million. My rather unassailable conclusion is pretty simple: Check the share count before you buy a stock.
Persons: PulteGroup, DR Horton, , Douglas Yearley hadn't, homebuilders, Jim Umpleby, Eaton, Dow, Cummins, Elliott, Marc Benioff, Colette Kress, Williams, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mike Blake Organizations: Federal Reserve, DR, Management, Dick's, Goods, Abercrombie, Fitch, Williams, Walmart, Caterpillar, DuPont, Marathon Petroleum, Elliott Management, Valero Energy, Pacific, Norfolk Southern, CSX, Apple, Microsoft, NFL, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: tatters, California, Sonoma, America, Williams Sonoma, San Marcos , California
Homebuilding stocks have reached new highs this year, and State Street's Matthew Bartolini sees more upside in store when the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates. "The thesis just comes down to economic resilience that is fueled by a strong labor market and a healthy consumer," said the managing director and head of SPDR Americas research. XHB YTD mountain Homebuilding ETF has surged more than 15% this year. The SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) has rallied nearly 17% year to date and about 70% over the past year. Homebuilding stocks have also benefited from a resilient economy that is led by a healthy labor market, and they stand to gain even more in a Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle.
Persons: Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini Organizations: State, Federal Reserve, SPDR, Sonoma, Products, Carlisle Companies, Builders, Fed Locations: SPDR Americas, Williams
The city of Berkeley, Calif., has agreed to repeal a landmark climate rule that would have banned natural gas hookups in new homes, throwing into question the fate of dozens of similar restrictions on gas in cities across the country. The city settled the lawsuit last week by agreeing to immediately halt enforcement of the rule and eventually repeal it altogether. “To comply with the Ninth Circuit’s ruling, we have ceased enforcement of the gas ban,” Farimah Brown, the city attorney for Berkeley, said in an email. However, she added, “Berkeley will continue to be a leader on climate action.”The decision could have widespread ripple effects. Many of those efforts are facing fierce resistance and legal challenges from the gas industry, restaurants and homebuilders.
Persons: ” Farimah Brown, Organizations: California Restaurant Association, United States, Appeals, Ninth Circuit, Berkeley, New Locations: Berkeley, Calif, “ Berkeley, New York City, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle
The four-year total return for the S & P 500 since March 23, 2020, is just about 150%, or 25.7% annualized. .SPX mountain 2020-03-23 S & P 500 since the Covid low This is, of course, an idealized starting point from which to measure performance. While the S & P 500 bottomed at around a three-year low under 2,200, the index spent only a few weeks under 2,500. More qualitatively, it's a bull market, and in a bull market the overshoots occur to the upside, so a rally being "ahead of itself" is not fatal. And the S & P 500 is only 9% higher than it was more than two years ago, hardly reaching escape velocity from planet Sanity.
Persons: , Warren, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, bullishness, Rocky White Organizations: HSBC, 3Fourteen, Bank of Japan, Fed, Ned Davis Research, Schaeffer's Investment Research, Intelligence, Bank of America
The weekly chart of the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) shows how the long-term trend has become quite strong off the October 2022 low. The higher low in October was a sign of accumulation, showing that the bearish momentum going into the summer had begun to dissipate. Once this ETF broke above its July 2023 high, it traded higher to a price gap in December of last year. In this case, the homebuilder ETF resolved this pattern to the upside in late February with a break above $105. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, ITB, David Keller Organizations: Home, CMT Locations: U.S
If you like your situation right now — your job, your house, your car — you can keep it. The labor market has cooled off somewhat, making it less advantageous to hunt for a new job. The car market is in a similar situation. Employers are hiring as if there's a relatively weak labor market, not a strong one. Yes, the labor market is strong, but it's not a great time to go looking for a new job.
Persons: Joanne Hsu, there's, they're, , Dana Peterson, that's, it's, Matt Darling, Darling, Tamara Charm, Charm, Emily Stewart Organizations: University of Michigan, Labor Statistics, Conference Board, Companies, Employers, Niskanen, McKinsey, Business
Homebuilder sentiment rose 3 points in March to 51 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Sentiment also moved into positive territory for the first time since July. Fifty is the line between positive and negative sentiment. "But even though there is strong pent-up demand, builders continue to face several supply-side challenges, including a scarcity of buildable lots and skilled labor, and new restrictive codes that continue to increase the cost of building homes." Regionally, on a three-month moving average, sentiment rose most in the Midwest and West.
Persons: Carl Harris, Robert Dietz Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, West, Builders, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, Wichita , Kansas, Midwest
Existing home prices should keep climbing when mortgage rates slide, Bank of America said. The number of existing home sales on offer fell last year as mortgage rates rose and sellers opted to wait it out to hold onto lower rates they locked in years ago. "As of January, the median sales price of existing single-family homes had grown 5% y/y, while the price for new single-family homes fell 3% y/y." AdvertisementSo far in 2024, mortgage rates have come down from multi-year highs seen last October, falling to 6.74% this month. January's existing home sales were the highest since August, and even small declines in mortgage rates are enough to encourage bursts of activity.
Persons: , It's, Redfin, Skylar Olsen Organizations: of America, Service, Bank of America, CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPublic homebuilders will continue to gain market share, according to UBS analyst John LovalloUBS analyst John Lovallo joins 'The Exchange' to discuss his outlook for homebuilders, the advantages public builders have in the space, and more.
Persons: John, John Lovallo Organizations: UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEVs are eventually the way of the future, says MAI Capital's Chris GrisantiChris Grisanti, MAI Capital Management chief equity strategist, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to trade Hersehy, Pfizer, Bristol Myers, Albemarle, and homebuilders.
Persons: Chris Grisanti Chris Grisanti, Bristol Organizations: MAI Capital Management, Pfizer Locations: Bristol Myers, Albemarle
Biden unveiled a plan that includes tax credits and down payment assistance to improve housing affordability. Eligible homebuyers would get this tax credit for two years, meaning you could get a total of $10,000 in tax credits for buying a house. Down payment assistanceAnother piece of Biden's plan for more affordable homeownership is the $25,000 in down payment assistance he wants Congress to provide to first-generation homebuyers. What hopeful homebuyers should knowAs a whole, this plan could substantially improve housing affordability, enabling more Americans to become homeowners. And even for homebuyers who qualify for tax credits or other assistance, saving up for a down payment remains a big barrier to homeownership.
Persons: Biden, , Dan Green, homebuyers Biden, hasn't, doesn't, Green, Daryl Fairweather, Fairweather, White, homebuyers Organizations: Biden, Service, Federal Housing Finance Agency, Consumer Financial, homebuilders, Loan, Program, Bank of America Mortgage, Democrats
The US Treasury Department is making unused COVID funds available to support housing projects. The State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds has around $40 billion in unspent money, Reuters said. The Treasury will also step up efforts to understand the impact of climate risks on housing supply. AdvertisementBillions of unspent pandemic dollars have been made available for housing projects as the federal government steps up efforts to tackle the shortage of affordable homes. The department also indefinitely extended backstop financing for a risk-sharing program between the Department of Housing and Urban Development and local financing agencies.
Persons: , Wally Adeyemo Organizations: US Treasury Department, Reuters, Treasury, Service, US Treasury, of Housing, Urban Development Locations: State
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